우민규 Woominkyu
Bitcoin: BCMI Index Approaches High-Conviction Support
The Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI)—composed of MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, and Fear & Greed—is currently testing a major historical pivot zone. Key Conservative Insights: 1️⃣ Strategic Undervaluation: The index has dropped into the 0.2 - 0.3 range. While this doesn't guarantee an immediate "V-shape" recovery, it identifies a zone where $BTC has historically been deeply undervalued. 2️⃣ Confluence of Data: By weighting MVRV(30%) and NUPL(25%), the BCMI confirms that the current correction has reset both realized value and investor sentiment to levels not seen since early 2023. 3️⃣ Patience is Key: The SMA(90) (White Line) is still trending downward. From a conservative standpoint, we are looking for this slope to flatten—signaling that the selling momentum has finally exhausted. The Bottom Line: We are entering a "Value-Accumulation Zone." The data suggests the downside is becoming limited compared to the long-term upside. However, wait for price stabilization to confirm the index's bottom signal.