PelinayPA2025-10-21

Bitcoin’s Correction Signals Strength, Not Weakness

During the second half of 2025, Bitcoin’s price declined from around $120K to $110K, accompanied by a noticeable rise in 0–1 day inflows. This typically suggests two things: short term traders are taking profits, and there is a temporary phase of liquidity repositioning as traders move coins to exchanges in anticipation of volatility. Meanwhile, coins held for more than six months remain largely inactive, which is critical long term holders are not selling. If they were, significant spikes would appear in those age bands. Their silence signals sustained confidence and a low risk of a large-scale sell-off. Such behavior often occurs in the mid or maturing stages of a bull cycle, where price pullbacks represent healthy corrections rather than trend reversals. The market is currently in a natural consolidation phase within an ongoing uptrend. Stable long term supply indicates that the structural bull trend remains intact, and corrections serve to strengthen it. In the short term, Bitcoin could revisit the $102K region as short term traders continue to take profits. However, since this selling pressure originates mainly from newer holders, it is unlikely to disrupt the broader bullish structure. These dips may offer attractive entry opportunities. Given that holders in the 6 month to 10 year range are not selling, there is roughly a 55% probability that the bull market top has not yet formed. The overall direction remains upward, though short term weakness could test the $102,600 support level if selling persists.