CYCLE TOP ALERT: The 3% Supply Loss Signal

CYCLE-TOP-ALERT-The-3-Supply-Loss-Signal

2021 Cycle Top Signature


Current Supply in Loss: 5.48%
Buffer to danger zone: 2.48% above the critical 3% threshold
Risk trajectory: Lower numbers = higher risk
Next few months critical

At 5.48% Supply in Loss, we have runway but need to watch the decline toward 3%. History shows this metric provided perfect timing for the 2021 exit. The next few months are critical not for immediate panic, but for disciplined dca out strategy. 
Risk Level: Moderate (prepare, don't panic)
Key Metric: Watch 5.48% → 3% decline
Action Plan: Progressive exits as threshold approaches