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Bitcoin's Performance in Q4 2024

As 2024 draws to a close and 2025 begins—a year that many analysts have varying predictions for regarding bullish or bearish trends—it's worthwhile to review Bitcoin's performance in the final quarter of the golden year 2024. In this short post, we’ll examine the market cap and realized cap performance of Bitcoin in Q4 2024 and compare it to previous Bitcoin cycles. Based on the metrics, Bitcoin experienced a 55% growth in market cap and a 28.9% increase in realized cap during the last quarter of 2024. This is an impressive performance, although slightly less than the 58% market cap growth seen in Q1 2024. However, the growth in realized cap in Q4 outpaced that of Q1. As a result, we can conclude that Q4 2024 marked Bitcoin’s best quarter of the year. When comparing the performance of Bitcoin in 2024's quarters to previous cycles, it becomes evident that the gains were more modest than those seen during earlier bull runs. Historically, during prior bullish cycles, market cap increases approaching 100% and realized cap growth of 50-70% near peak price levels were common. While history does not always repeat itself, we can cautiously speculate that the bullish sentiment among Bitcoin holders leaves room for long-term growth in 2025. However, this does not rule out the possibility of short-term corrections along the way.