Bitcoin: UTXOs in Loss

Chart Description

UTXOs in Loss measures the total number of unspent transaction outputs whose current market price is below the price at which they were last moved on-chain, providing a broad count of how many discrete units of supply are currently sitting in an unrealized loss position across the network.

A rising count indicates that more UTXOs are falling into loss as price declines - reflecting a broadening base of holders who are underwater relative to their cost basis. When UTXOs in Loss reaches historically elevated levels, it signals that loss-side pressure is becoming widespread across the network, increasing the risk of capitulation as a growing number of participants face the psychological and financial pressure of sustained unrealized losses. Extreme readings have historically coincided with or closely preceded major cycle bottoms, as loss realization peaks and selling exhaustion sets in across a wide base of holders.

A declining count reflects price recovering above the cost basis of an increasing number of outputs - holders moving back into profit, reducing loss-driven selling pressure and historically associated with improving market structure.

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